Bellator 62: MJ's Picks & Parlays
Coming off of last weeks entertaining and competitive Middle Weight Tournament card, Bellator 62 brings us the first round of this years Light Weight Tournament. This card will also put a close to last years Heavy Weight Tournament by deciding the winner and next opponent to Cole Konrad. Delayed yet again due to Prindle catching a flu bug before last weeks fight, all signs are go for this Friday. Hopefully, come fight time, Prindle will be 100% and we'll see two of the best Heavy Weights outside of the UFC put on a great show.
The lines have opened up a little wider with Prindle being a 10 to 1 underdog with some of the sports books out there. I can't help but still feel that this is a great value bet with Prindle being as high as a +422 and Santos being in the -500 range. My money would be with Prindle and I'm convinced the odds makers haven't watched either one of these guys fight. It's a true pick 'em in my book and were I to set odds I would have both at -110. Either one of these guys can end it early and while Santos may have a few more tools on the ground, Prindle's power should be the deciding factor.
The online betting for this event is limited to this one fight and no sports book is touching the Light Weight Tourney. I'm betting they lost their hats with the Middle Weight Tournament's first round last week and didn't want to relive a second straight week of serious losses. The relative unknown status of most Bellator fighters makes it hard to set lines and make money for a lot of these online guys.
MJ's picks for this weeks tournament:
J.J. Abmbrose VS. Brent Weedman
While Brent Weedman may be coming off of back to back losses, he's still my pick for this first round fight. Brent has faced a higher level of competition and as long as the cut to 155 goes well, he should take the W.
Rene Nazare VS. Thiago Michel Pereira Silva
I'm expecting Nazare to come in hungry to return to his finishing ways and put Thiago away. One thing's for sure though, this isn't going to a decision. If Nazare can negate Thiago's relative height and reach advantage by taking this to the ground, he should be able to get the sub. I'd put money on Nazare.
Rick Hawn VS. Ricardo Tirloni
Coming off of a hotly contested split decision loss to Jay Heiron, I think a re-focused Rick Hawn will come to finish Tirloni quickly. The sting of losing a close decision should fuel Hawn as an early favorite to reach the Tournament Final this year. Tirloni's ground game, if allowed to be utilized, could spoil Hawn's night. I would stay away from this one, but if forced to pick I'd have to go with Hawn.
Lloyd Woodard VS. Patricky Pitbul
While both of these men own losses to the current Bellator Champ, Michael Chandler, the fact that neither of them were finished by him speaks volumes. The match makers got this wrong in my opinion as these two should have been on opposite sides of this years bracket. Lloyd will look to control the fight on the ground with Pitbul thinking KO all the way. I give a slight edge to Pitbul if he can keep it standing. Patricky is my pick for both this fight and the tournament.
As always, for current lines and online betting, check out bestfightodds.com.
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